| レート | 1844 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 1回戦 | 吉池隆真 | 1706 | 68.88% | 68.88% | |
| 2回戦 | 千田翔太 | 1730 | 65.84% | 45.35% | |
| 3回戦 | 89.23% | 永瀬拓矢 | 1955 | 34.55% | 17.87% |
| 9.76% | 行方尚史 | 1621 | 78.31% | ||
| 1.01% | 西山朋佳 | 1416 | 92.16% | ||
| 準々決勝 | 58.38% | 伊藤匠 | 1966 | 33.13% | 7.73% |
| 26.92% | 糸谷哲郎 | 1832 | 51.73% | ||
| 6.32% | 佐々木大地 | 1753 | 62.80% | ||
| 4.31% | 郷田真隆 | 1701 | 69.49% | ||
| 2.08% | 柵木幹太 | 1649 | 75.45% | ||
| 1.99% | 冨田誠也 | 1669 | 73.25% | ||
| 準決勝 | 65.86% | 藤井聡太 | 2081 | 20.35% | 2.55% |
| 11.45% | 近藤誠也 | 1806 | 55.45% | ||
| 10.31% | 服部慎一郎 | 1862 | 47.41% | ||
| 3.64% | 山崎隆之 | 1776 | 59.66% | ||
| 2.83% | 久保利明 | 1730 | 65.84% | ||
| 2.15% | 本田奎 | 1697 | 69.98% | ||
| 1.73% | 中村太地 | 1647 | 75.66% | ||
| 1.30% | 戸辺誠 | 1681 | 71.88% | ||
| 0.65% | 木村一基 | 1657 | 74.58% | ||
| 0.05% | 横山友紀 | 1493 | 88.29% | ||
| 0.02% | 勝又清和 | 1480 | 89.05% | ||
| 0.01% | 阪口悟 | 1450 | 90.62% | ||
| 0.01% | 松本佳介 | 1447 | 90.77% | ||
| 決勝 | 12.82% | 斎藤慎太郎 | 1867 | 46.69% | 1.41% |
| 11.63% | 増田康宏 | 1837 | 51.01% | ||
| 11.56% | 藤本渚 | 1857 | 48.13% | ||
| 8.98% | 渡辺明 | 1813 | 54.45% | ||
| 8.64% | 佐々木勇気 | 1796 | 56.86% | ||
| 8.35% | 佐藤天彦 | 1792 | 57.43% | ||
| 8.19% | 豊島将之 | 1797 | 56.72% | ||
| 6.95% | 羽生善治 | 1827 | 52.44% | ||
| 3.23% | 大橋貴洸 | 1772 | 60.22% | ||
| 2.71% | 菅井竜也 | 1716 | 67.63% | ||
| 2.67% | 澤田真吾 | 1761 | 61.72% | ||
| 2.53% | 青嶋未来 | 1744 | 64.01% | ||
| 2.44% | 古賀悠聖 | 1742 | 64.27% | ||
| 1.88% | 上野裕寿 | 1735 | 65.19% | ||
| 1.59% | 髙見泰地 | 1718 | 67.38% | ||
| 1.34% | 稲葉陽 | 1672 | 72.91% | ||
| 1.14% | 池永天志 | 1703 | 69.25% | ||
| 0.88% | 大石直嗣 | 1699 | 69.73% | ||
| 0.81% | 屋敷伸之 | 1666 | 73.59% | ||
| 0.62% | 佐藤康光 | 1673 | 72.80% | ||
| 0.37% | 石井健太郎 | 1655 | 74.80% | ||
| 0.29% | 横山泰明 | 1656 | 74.69% | ||
| 0.24% | 佐々木慎 | 1627 | 77.72% | ||
| 0.09% | 渡辺大夢 | 1565 | 83.29% | ||
| 0.03% | 生垣寛人 | 1552 | 84.30% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |