| レート | 1811 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 2回戦 | 横山友紀 | 1488 | 86.52% | 86.52% | |
| 3回戦 | 42.80% | 中村太地 | 1656 | 70.94% | 57.91% |
| 37.43% | 久保利明 | 1737 | 60.49% | ||
| 19.77% | 戸辺誠 | 1660 | 70.46% | ||
| 準々決勝 | 76.71% | 藤井聡太 | 2092 | 16.55% | 13.85% |
| 13.65% | 服部慎一郎 | 1863 | 42.57% | ||
| 8.07% | 山崎隆之 | 1791 | 52.88% | ||
| 1.44% | 木村一基 | 1652 | 71.41% | ||
| 0.10% | 勝又清和 | 1481 | 86.98% | ||
| 0.04% | 松本佳介 | 1440 | 89.43% | ||
| 準決勝 | 36.87% | 伊藤匠 | 1952 | 30.75% | 5.54% |
| 34.06% | 永瀬拓矢 | 1908 | 36.39% | ||
| 13.61% | 糸谷哲郎 | 1832 | 46.98% | ||
| 5.03% | 千田翔太 | 1729 | 61.59% | ||
| 4.24% | 吉池隆真 | 1716 | 63.34% | ||
| 2.09% | 佐々木大地 | 1737 | 60.49% | ||
| 1.77% | 郷田真隆 | 1715 | 63.47% | ||
| 0.98% | 行方尚史 | 1630 | 73.92% | ||
| 0.70% | 冨田誠也 | 1674 | 68.75% | ||
| 0.63% | 柵木幹太 | 1656 | 70.94% | ||
| 0.01% | 西山朋佳 | 1416 | 90.67% | ||
| 決勝 | 13.27% | 藤本渚 | 1878 | 40.48% | 2.73% |
| 11.94% | 増田康宏 | 1845 | 45.12% | ||
| 11.41% | 斎藤慎太郎 | 1863 | 42.57% | ||
| 10.06% | 羽生善治 | 1865 | 42.29% | ||
| 7.94% | 佐々木勇気 | 1797 | 52.01% | ||
| 7.62% | 渡辺明 | 1813 | 49.71% | ||
| 7.28% | 佐藤天彦 | 1793 | 52.59% | ||
| 7.09% | 豊島将之 | 1800 | 51.58% | ||
| 5.46% | 大橋貴洸 | 1772 | 55.59% | ||
| 3.48% | 古賀悠聖 | 1773 | 55.45% | ||
| 2.87% | 菅井竜也 | 1730 | 61.45% | ||
| 2.75% | 上野裕寿 | 1737 | 60.49% | ||
| 2.55% | 青嶋未来 | 1748 | 58.97% | ||
| 1.60% | 池永天志 | 1692 | 66.49% | ||
| 1.52% | 髙見泰地 | 1719 | 62.94% | ||
| 1.17% | 稲葉陽 | 1672 | 69.00% | ||
| 1.02% | 大石直嗣 | 1716 | 63.34% | ||
| 0.51% | 屋敷伸之 | 1644 | 72.34% | ||
| 0.20% | 横山泰明 | 1649 | 71.76% | ||
| 0.15% | 佐々木慎 | 1617 | 75.34% | ||
| 0.07% | 渡辺大夢 | 1553 | 81.54% | ||
| 0.03% | 生垣寛人 | 1554 | 81.45% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |