| レート | 1857 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 1回戦 | 大石直嗣 | 1699 | 71.29% | 71.29% | |
| 2回戦 | 稲葉陽 | 1672 | 74.36% | 53.01% | |
| 3回戦 | 64.87% | 佐々木勇気 | 1796 | 58.69% | 33.65% |
| 20.05% | 池永天志 | 1703 | 70.82% | ||
| 15.08% | 佐藤康光 | 1673 | 74.25% | ||
| 準々決勝 | 34.98% | 増田康宏 | 1837 | 52.88% | 19.13% |
| 33.66% | 斎藤慎太郎 | 1867 | 48.56% | ||
| 12.67% | 青嶋未来 | 1744 | 65.71% | ||
| 9.39% | 髙見泰地 | 1718 | 69.00% | ||
| 6.92% | 屋敷伸之 | 1666 | 75.02% | ||
| 1.69% | 渡辺大夢 | 1565 | 84.30% | ||
| 0.69% | 生垣寛人 | 1552 | 85.27% | ||
| 準決勝 | 17.78% | 渡辺明 | 1813 | 56.30% | 11.56% |
| 17.54% | 佐藤天彦 | 1792 | 59.25% | ||
| 16.97% | 豊島将之 | 1797 | 58.55% | ||
| 13.25% | 羽生善治 | 1827 | 54.31% | ||
| 7.27% | 菅井竜也 | 1716 | 69.25% | ||
| 7.20% | 大橋貴洸 | 1772 | 61.99% | ||
| 6.16% | 澤田真吾 | 1761 | 63.47% | ||
| 5.98% | 古賀悠聖 | 1742 | 65.97% | ||
| 4.71% | 上野裕寿 | 1735 | 66.87% | ||
| 1.26% | 石井健太郎 | 1655 | 76.18% | ||
| 0.99% | 横山泰明 | 1656 | 76.08% | ||
| 0.90% | 佐々木慎 | 1627 | 78.98% | ||
| 決勝 | 46.89% | 藤井聡太 | 2081 | 21.59% | 3.83% |
| 17.33% | 永瀬拓矢 | 1955 | 36.26% | ||
| 16.38% | 伊藤匠 | 1966 | 34.81% | ||
| 4.37% | 服部慎一郎 | 1862 | 49.28% | ||
| 4.02% | 近藤誠也 | 1806 | 57.29% | ||
| 3.55% | 糸谷哲郎 | 1832 | 53.59% | ||
| 2.55% | 広瀬章人 | 1844 | 51.87% | ||
| 1.15% | 山崎隆之 | 1776 | 61.45% | ||
| 0.74% | 久保利明 | 1730 | 67.50% | ||
| 0.68% | 千田翔太 | 1730 | 67.50% | ||
| 0.49% | 本田奎 | 1697 | 71.53% | ||
| 0.48% | 佐々木大地 | 1753 | 64.54% | ||
| 0.32% | 中村太地 | 1647 | 77.01% | ||
| 0.28% | 戸辺誠 | 1681 | 73.36% | ||
| 0.22% | 郷田真隆 | 1701 | 71.05% | ||
| 0.19% | 吉池隆真 | 1706 | 70.46% | ||
| 0.13% | 木村一基 | 1657 | 75.97% | ||
| 0.08% | 冨田誠也 | 1669 | 74.69% | ||
| 0.07% | 行方尚史 | 1621 | 79.55% | ||
| 0.07% | 柵木幹太 | 1649 | 76.81% | ||
| 0.00% | 横山友紀 | 1493 | 89.05% | ||
| 0.00% | 勝又清和 | 1480 | 89.75% | ||
| 0.00% | 阪口悟 | 1450 | 91.24% | ||
| 0.00% | 松本佳介 | 1447 | 91.37% | ||
| 0.00% | 西山朋佳 | 1416 | 92.68% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |