| レート | 1791 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 2回戦 | 91.95% | 服部慎一郎 | 1863 | 39.78% | 43.69% |
| 8.05% | 松本佳介 | 1440 | 88.29% | ||
| 3回戦 | 93.86% | 藤井聡太 | 2092 | 15.02% | 8.07% |
| 5.36% | 木村一基 | 1652 | 69.00% | ||
| 0.78% | 勝又清和 | 1481 | 85.63% | ||
| 準々決勝 | 57.91% | 近藤誠也 | 1811 | 47.12% | 4.42% |
| 16.87% | 久保利明 | 1737 | 57.71% | ||
| 14.94% | 中村太地 | 1656 | 68.51% | ||
| 7.00% | 戸辺誠 | 1660 | 68.01% | ||
| 3.28% | 横山友紀 | 1488 | 85.12% | ||
| 準決勝 | 36.87% | 伊藤匠 | 1952 | 28.36% | 1.65% |
| 34.06% | 永瀬拓矢 | 1908 | 33.77% | ||
| 13.61% | 糸谷哲郎 | 1832 | 44.13% | ||
| 5.03% | 千田翔太 | 1729 | 58.83% | ||
| 4.24% | 吉池隆真 | 1716 | 60.63% | ||
| 2.09% | 佐々木大地 | 1737 | 57.71% | ||
| 1.77% | 郷田真隆 | 1715 | 60.77% | ||
| 0.98% | 行方尚史 | 1630 | 71.64% | ||
| 0.70% | 冨田誠也 | 1674 | 66.23% | ||
| 0.63% | 柵木幹太 | 1656 | 68.51% | ||
| 0.01% | 西山朋佳 | 1416 | 89.65% | ||
| 決勝 | 13.27% | 藤本渚 | 1878 | 37.73% | 0.77% |
| 11.94% | 増田康宏 | 1845 | 42.29% | ||
| 11.41% | 斎藤慎太郎 | 1863 | 39.78% | ||
| 10.06% | 羽生善治 | 1865 | 39.51% | ||
| 7.94% | 佐々木勇気 | 1797 | 49.14% | ||
| 7.62% | 渡辺明 | 1813 | 46.84% | ||
| 7.28% | 佐藤天彦 | 1793 | 49.71% | ||
| 7.09% | 豊島将之 | 1800 | 48.71% | ||
| 5.46% | 大橋貴洸 | 1772 | 52.73% | ||
| 3.48% | 古賀悠聖 | 1773 | 52.59% | ||
| 2.87% | 菅井竜也 | 1730 | 58.69% | ||
| 2.75% | 上野裕寿 | 1737 | 57.71% | ||
| 2.55% | 青嶋未来 | 1748 | 56.16% | ||
| 1.60% | 池永天志 | 1692 | 63.87% | ||
| 1.52% | 髙見泰地 | 1719 | 60.22% | ||
| 1.17% | 稲葉陽 | 1672 | 66.49% | ||
| 1.02% | 大石直嗣 | 1716 | 60.63% | ||
| 0.51% | 屋敷伸之 | 1644 | 69.98% | ||
| 0.20% | 横山泰明 | 1649 | 69.37% | ||
| 0.15% | 佐々木慎 | 1617 | 73.14% | ||
| 0.07% | 渡辺大夢 | 1553 | 79.74% | ||
| 0.03% | 生垣寛人 | 1554 | 79.65% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |