| レート | 1797 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 2回戦 | 池永天志 | 1692 | 64.67% | 64.67% | |
| 3回戦 | 54.97% | 藤本渚 | 1878 | 38.55% | 32.69% |
| 29.13% | 稲葉陽 | 1672 | 67.25% | ||
| 15.90% | 大石直嗣 | 1716 | 61.45% | ||
| 準々決勝 | 36.73% | 増田康宏 | 1845 | 43.14% | 15.79% |
| 32.28% | 斎藤慎太郎 | 1863 | 40.61% | ||
| 13.46% | 青嶋未来 | 1748 | 57.01% | ||
| 9.68% | 髙見泰地 | 1719 | 61.04% | ||
| 5.61% | 屋敷伸之 | 1644 | 70.70% | ||
| 1.54% | 渡辺大夢 | 1553 | 80.29% | ||
| 0.71% | 生垣寛人 | 1554 | 80.20% | ||
| 準決勝 | 17.77% | 羽生善治 | 1865 | 40.34% | 7.94% |
| 15.61% | 佐藤天彦 | 1793 | 50.58% | ||
| 15.41% | 渡辺明 | 1813 | 47.70% | ||
| 14.90% | 豊島将之 | 1800 | 49.57% | ||
| 12.49% | 大橋貴洸 | 1772 | 53.59% | ||
| 7.94% | 古賀悠聖 | 1773 | 53.45% | ||
| 7.53% | 菅井竜也 | 1730 | 59.52% | ||
| 7.05% | 上野裕寿 | 1737 | 58.55% | ||
| 0.69% | 横山泰明 | 1649 | 70.10% | ||
| 0.61% | 佐々木慎 | 1617 | 73.81% | ||
| 決勝 | 50.40% | 藤井聡太 | 2092 | 15.47% | 2.15% |
| 16.24% | 伊藤匠 | 1952 | 29.06% | ||
| 13.22% | 永瀬拓矢 | 1908 | 34.55% | ||
| 5.54% | 近藤誠也 | 1811 | 47.99% | ||
| 4.14% | 糸谷哲郎 | 1832 | 44.98% | ||
| 4.12% | 服部慎一郎 | 1863 | 40.61% | ||
| 1.65% | 山崎隆之 | 1791 | 50.86% | ||
| 1.05% | 千田翔太 | 1729 | 59.66% | ||
| 0.92% | 久保利明 | 1737 | 58.55% | ||
| 0.84% | 吉池隆真 | 1716 | 61.45% | ||
| 0.45% | 佐々木大地 | 1737 | 58.55% | ||
| 0.41% | 中村太地 | 1656 | 69.25% | ||
| 0.35% | 郷田真隆 | 1715 | 61.59% | ||
| 0.20% | 戸辺誠 | 1660 | 68.75% | ||
| 0.13% | 行方尚史 | 1630 | 72.34% | ||
| 0.12% | 冨田誠也 | 1674 | 67.00% | ||
| 0.11% | 木村一基 | 1652 | 69.73% | ||
| 0.10% | 柵木幹太 | 1656 | 69.25% | ||
| 0.02% | 横山友紀 | 1488 | 85.55% | ||
| 0.00% | 勝又清和 | 1481 | 86.05% | ||
| 0.00% | 西山朋佳 | 1416 | 89.96% | ||
| 0.00% | 松本佳介 | 1440 | 88.65% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |