| レート | 1511 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 1回戦 | 福間香奈 | 1463 | 56.86% | 56.86% | |
| 2回戦 | 南芳一 | 1355 | 71.05% | 40.40% | |
| 3回戦 | 73.70% | 徳田拳士 | 1626 | 34.03% | 16.41% |
| 26.30% | 長岡裕也 | 1447 | 59.11% | ||
| 4回戦 | 63.60% | 冨田誠也 | 1638 | 32.50% | 7.28% |
| 16.66% | 小林裕士 | 1425 | 62.13% | ||
| 9.97% | 藤原直哉 | 1372 | 69.00% | ||
| 9.76% | 平藤眞吾 | 1396 | 65.97% | ||
| 5回戦 | 17.65% | 森本才跳 | 1501 | 51.44% | 4.06% |
| 14.46% | 齊藤裕也 | 1474 | 55.30% | ||
| 14.12% | 横山友紀 | 1474 | 55.30% | ||
| 14.10% | 宮本広志 | 1480 | 54.45% | ||
| 12.76% | 炭﨑俊毅 | 1502 | 51.29% | ||
| 10.59% | 牧野光則 | 1449 | 58.83% | ||
| 8.96% | 安用寺孝功 | 1433 | 61.04% | ||
| 4.16% | 稲葉聡アマ | 1420 | 62.80% | ||
| 3.18% | 島本亮 | 1340 | 72.80% | ||
| 準決勝 | 33.71% | 岡部怜央 | 1726 | 22.48% | 1.28% |
| 20.47% | 小山怜央 | 1640 | 32.24% | ||
| 20.42% | 吉池隆真 | 1696 | 25.64% | ||
| 7.44% | 高橋佑二郎 | 1574 | 41.03% | ||
| 7.08% | 小山直希 | 1592 | 38.55% | ||
| 2.57% | 佐藤秀司 | 1488 | 53.31% | ||
| 2.21% | 中村亮介 | 1491 | 52.88% | ||
| 1.37% | 佐藤慎一 | 1437 | 60.49% | ||
| 0.82% | 伊藤沙恵 | 1463 | 56.86% | ||
| 0.75% | 島朗 | 1402 | 65.19% | ||
| 0.75% | 入馬尚輝 | 1452 | 58.41% | ||
| 0.66% | 近藤正和 | 1407 | 64.54% | ||
| 0.51% | 窪田義行 | 1393 | 66.36% | ||
| 0.39% | 中川慧梧アマ | 1420 | 62.80% | ||
| 0.38% | 上村亘 | 1409 | 64.27% | ||
| 0.34% | 髙野秀行 | 1386 | 67.25% | ||
| 0.13% | 神谷広志 | 1309 | 76.18% | ||
| 決勝 | 34.50% | 西田拓也 | 1761 | 19.17% | 0.43% |
| 17.36% | 黒田尭之 | 1663 | 29.42% | ||
| 10.09% | 齊藤優希 | 1614 | 35.60% | ||
| 7.54% | 山川泰熙 | 1611 | 35.99% | ||
| 7.31% | 宮嶋健太 | 1598 | 37.73% | ||
| 2.83% | 今泉健司 | 1552 | 44.13% | ||
| 2.57% | 瀬川晶司 | 1493 | 52.59% | ||
| 2.45% | 獺ヶ口笑保人 | 1501 | 51.44% | ||
| 2.05% | 塚田泰明 | 1480 | 54.45% | ||
| 1.47% | 真田圭一 | 1457 | 57.71% | ||
| 1.38% | 片山史龍 | 1512 | 49.86% | ||
| 1.38% | 田中悠一 | 1456 | 57.85% | ||
| 1.27% | 畠山鎮 | 1444 | 59.52% | ||
| 1.26% | 西山朋佳 | 1463 | 56.86% | ||
| 1.09% | 勝又清和 | 1438 | 60.35% | ||
| 0.80% | 松本佳介 | 1428 | 61.72% | ||
| 0.66% | 岩村凛太朗 | 1497 | 52.01% | ||
| 0.54% | 畠山成幸 | 1398 | 65.71% | ||
| 0.44% | 森下卓 | 1432 | 61.18% | ||
| 0.40% | 小倉久史 | 1394 | 66.23% | ||
| 0.38% | 荒田敏史アマ | 1420 | 62.80% | ||
| 0.35% | 日浦市郎 | 1387 | 67.12% | ||
| 0.32% | 中七海 | 1463 | 56.86% | ||
| 0.23% | 中田功 | 1368 | 69.49% | ||
| 0.21% | 富岡英作 | 1330 | 73.92% | ||
| 0.21% | 浦野真彦 | 1352 | 71.41% | ||
| 0.20% | 岡崎洋 | 1358 | 70.70% | ||
| 0.20% | 木本陸斗アマ | 1420 | 62.80% | ||
| 0.17% | 大平武洋 | 1374 | 68.75% | ||
| 0.17% | 豊川孝弘 | 1344 | 72.34% | ||
| 0.12% | 山本真也 | 1327 | 74.25% | ||
| 0.03% | 脇謙二 | 1284 | 78.70% | ||
| 0.03% | 神崎健二 | 1301 | 77.01% | ||
| 0.02% | 堀口一史座 | 1225 | 83.84% | ||
| 0.01% | 所司和晴 | 1208 | 85.12% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |