| レート | 1638 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 2回戦 | 平藤眞吾 | 1396 | 80.11% | 80.11% | |
| 3回戦 | 57.57% | 小林裕士 | 1425 | 77.31% | 63.60% |
| 42.43% | 藤原直哉 | 1372 | 82.22% | ||
| 4回戦 | 53.71% | 徳田拳士 | 1626 | 51.73% | 39.25% |
| 16.41% | 生垣寛人 | 1511 | 67.50% | ||
| 13.09% | 長岡裕也 | 1447 | 75.02% | ||
| 9.68% | 福間香奈 | 1463 | 73.25% | ||
| 7.11% | 南芳一 | 1355 | 83.60% | ||
| 5回戦 | 17.65% | 森本才跳 | 1501 | 68.75% | 28.36% |
| 14.46% | 齊藤裕也 | 1474 | 71.99% | ||
| 14.12% | 横山友紀 | 1474 | 71.99% | ||
| 14.10% | 宮本広志 | 1480 | 71.29% | ||
| 12.76% | 炭﨑俊毅 | 1502 | 68.63% | ||
| 10.59% | 牧野光則 | 1449 | 74.80% | ||
| 8.96% | 安用寺孝功 | 1433 | 76.50% | ||
| 4.16% | 稲葉聡アマ | 1420 | 77.81% | ||
| 3.18% | 島本亮 | 1340 | 84.75% | ||
| 準決勝 | 33.71% | 岡部怜央 | 1726 | 37.60% | 13.57% |
| 20.47% | 小山怜央 | 1640 | 49.71% | ||
| 20.42% | 吉池隆真 | 1696 | 41.73% | ||
| 7.44% | 高橋佑二郎 | 1574 | 59.11% | ||
| 7.08% | 小山直希 | 1592 | 56.58% | ||
| 2.57% | 佐藤秀司 | 1488 | 70.34% | ||
| 2.21% | 中村亮介 | 1491 | 69.98% | ||
| 1.37% | 佐藤慎一 | 1437 | 76.08% | ||
| 0.82% | 伊藤沙恵 | 1463 | 73.25% | ||
| 0.75% | 島朗 | 1402 | 79.55% | ||
| 0.75% | 入馬尚輝 | 1452 | 74.47% | ||
| 0.66% | 近藤正和 | 1407 | 79.08% | ||
| 0.51% | 窪田義行 | 1393 | 80.38% | ||
| 0.39% | 中川慧梧アマ | 1420 | 77.81% | ||
| 0.38% | 上村亘 | 1409 | 78.89% | ||
| 0.34% | 髙野秀行 | 1386 | 81.01% | ||
| 0.13% | 神谷広志 | 1309 | 86.92% | ||
| 決勝 | 34.50% | 西田拓也 | 1761 | 33.00% | 6.74% |
| 17.36% | 黒田尭之 | 1663 | 46.41% | ||
| 10.09% | 齊藤優希 | 1614 | 53.45% | ||
| 7.54% | 山川泰熙 | 1611 | 53.88% | ||
| 7.31% | 宮嶋健太 | 1598 | 55.73% | ||
| 2.83% | 今泉健司 | 1552 | 62.13% | ||
| 2.57% | 瀬川晶司 | 1493 | 69.73% | ||
| 2.45% | 獺ヶ口笑保人 | 1501 | 68.75% | ||
| 2.05% | 塚田泰明 | 1480 | 71.29% | ||
| 1.47% | 真田圭一 | 1457 | 73.92% | ||
| 1.38% | 片山史龍 | 1512 | 67.38% | ||
| 1.38% | 田中悠一 | 1456 | 74.03% | ||
| 1.27% | 畠山鎮 | 1444 | 75.34% | ||
| 1.26% | 西山朋佳 | 1463 | 73.25% | ||
| 1.09% | 勝又清和 | 1438 | 75.97% | ||
| 0.80% | 松本佳介 | 1428 | 77.01% | ||
| 0.66% | 岩村凛太朗 | 1497 | 69.25% | ||
| 0.54% | 畠山成幸 | 1398 | 79.92% | ||
| 0.44% | 森下卓 | 1432 | 76.60% | ||
| 0.40% | 小倉久史 | 1394 | 80.29% | ||
| 0.38% | 荒田敏史アマ | 1420 | 77.81% | ||
| 0.35% | 日浦市郎 | 1387 | 80.92% | ||
| 0.32% | 中七海 | 1463 | 73.25% | ||
| 0.23% | 中田功 | 1368 | 82.55% | ||
| 0.21% | 富岡英作 | 1330 | 85.48% | ||
| 0.21% | 浦野真彦 | 1352 | 83.84% | ||
| 0.20% | 岡崎洋 | 1358 | 83.37% | ||
| 0.20% | 木本陸斗アマ | 1420 | 77.81% | ||
| 0.17% | 大平武洋 | 1374 | 82.05% | ||
| 0.17% | 豊川孝弘 | 1344 | 84.45% | ||
| 0.12% | 山本真也 | 1327 | 85.70% | ||
| 0.03% | 脇謙二 | 1284 | 88.47% | ||
| 0.03% | 神崎健二 | 1301 | 87.43% | ||
| 0.02% | 堀口一史座 | 1225 | 91.51% | ||
| 0.01% | 所司和晴 | 1208 | 92.24% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |