| レート | 1614 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 1回戦 | 荒田敏史アマ | 1420 | 75.34% | 75.34% | |
| 2回戦 | 所司和晴 | 1208 | 91.19% | 68.70% | |
| 3回戦 | 63.21% | 勝又清和 | 1438 | 73.36% | 52.72% |
| 36.79% | 豊川孝弘 | 1344 | 82.55% | ||
| 4回戦 | 41.80% | 瀬川晶司 | 1493 | 66.74% | 38.54% |
| 31.96% | 田中悠一 | 1456 | 71.29% | ||
| 19.49% | 富岡英作 | 1330 | 83.68% | ||
| 6.75% | 堀口一史座 | 1225 | 90.37% | ||
| 5回戦 | 45.67% | 黒田尭之 | 1663 | 42.99% | 20.92% |
| 24.72% | 山川泰熙 | 1611 | 50.43% | ||
| 10.64% | 畠山鎮 | 1444 | 72.68% | ||
| 6.21% | 畠山成幸 | 1398 | 77.62% | ||
| 3.95% | 岩村凛太朗 | 1497 | 66.23% | ||
| 3.38% | 浦野真彦 | 1352 | 81.88% | ||
| 2.35% | 山本真也 | 1327 | 83.92% | ||
| 2.34% | 中七海 | 1463 | 70.46% | ||
| 0.74% | 神崎健二 | 1301 | 85.84% | ||
| 準決勝 | 47.23% | 西田拓也 | 1761 | 30.02% | 10.09% |
| 13.85% | 宮嶋健太 | 1598 | 52.30% | ||
| 6.14% | 獺ヶ口笑保人 | 1501 | 65.71% | ||
| 6.08% | 今泉健司 | 1552 | 58.83% | ||
| 5.50% | 塚田泰明 | 1480 | 68.38% | ||
| 4.25% | 真田圭一 | 1457 | 71.17% | ||
| 3.57% | 西山朋佳 | 1463 | 70.46% | ||
| 3.34% | 片山史龍 | 1512 | 64.27% | ||
| 2.56% | 松本佳介 | 1428 | 74.47% | ||
| 1.47% | 小倉久史 | 1394 | 78.01% | ||
| 1.41% | 森下卓 | 1432 | 74.03% | ||
| 1.31% | 日浦市郎 | 1387 | 78.70% | ||
| 0.92% | 中田功 | 1368 | 80.47% | ||
| 0.85% | 岡崎洋 | 1358 | 81.36% | ||
| 0.67% | 大平武洋 | 1374 | 79.92% | ||
| 0.66% | 木本陸斗アマ | 1420 | 75.34% | ||
| 0.19% | 脇謙二 | 1284 | 86.98% | ||
| 決勝 | 24.29% | 岡部怜央 | 1726 | 34.42% | 4.76% |
| 14.02% | 吉池隆真 | 1696 | 38.41% | ||
| 13.57% | 冨田誠也 | 1638 | 46.55% | ||
| 12.63% | 小山怜央 | 1640 | 46.27% | ||
| 10.41% | 徳田拳士 | 1626 | 48.27% | ||
| 3.94% | 高橋佑二郎 | 1574 | 55.73% | ||
| 3.92% | 小山直希 | 1592 | 53.16% | ||
| 2.12% | 森本才跳 | 1501 | 65.71% | ||
| 1.54% | 炭﨑俊毅 | 1502 | 65.58% | ||
| 1.46% | 宮本広志 | 1480 | 68.38% | ||
| 1.43% | 齊藤裕也 | 1474 | 69.12% | ||
| 1.40% | 横山友紀 | 1474 | 69.12% | ||
| 1.28% | 生垣寛人 | 1511 | 64.40% | ||
| 1.06% | 佐藤秀司 | 1488 | 67.38% | ||
| 0.93% | 中村亮介 | 1491 | 67.00% | ||
| 0.87% | 牧野光則 | 1449 | 72.11% | ||
| 0.65% | 安用寺孝功 | 1433 | 73.92% | ||
| 0.55% | 小林裕士 | 1425 | 74.80% | ||
| 0.55% | 長岡裕也 | 1447 | 72.34% | ||
| 0.48% | 佐藤慎一 | 1437 | 73.48% | ||
| 0.48% | 福間香奈 | 1463 | 70.46% | ||
| 0.31% | 伊藤沙恵 | 1463 | 70.46% | ||
| 0.27% | 入馬尚輝 | 1452 | 71.76% | ||
| 0.27% | 稲葉聡アマ | 1420 | 75.34% | ||
| 0.23% | 平藤眞吾 | 1396 | 77.81% | ||
| 0.23% | 島朗 | 1402 | 77.21% | ||
| 0.21% | 近藤正和 | 1407 | 76.70% | ||
| 0.18% | 藤原直哉 | 1372 | 80.11% | ||
| 0.15% | 窪田義行 | 1393 | 78.11% | ||
| 0.13% | 中川慧梧アマ | 1420 | 75.34% | ||
| 0.12% | 上村亘 | 1409 | 76.50% | ||
| 0.11% | 島本亮 | 1340 | 82.88% | ||
| 0.10% | 南芳一 | 1355 | 81.62% | ||
| 0.10% | 髙野秀行 | 1386 | 78.79% | ||
| 0.03% | 神谷広志 | 1309 | 85.27% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |