| レート | 1471 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 2回戦 | 小山怜央 | 1553 | 38.41% | 38.41% | |
| 3回戦 | 69.86% | 吉池隆真 | 1555 | 38.14% | 17.05% |
| 30.14% | 大平武洋 | 1409 | 58.83% | ||
| 4回戦 | 77.47% | 岡部怜央 | 1728 | 18.55% | 4.13% |
| 13.15% | 佐藤秀司 | 1528 | 41.87% | ||
| 9.38% | 佐藤慎一 | 1495 | 46.55% | ||
| 5回戦 | 41.27% | 谷合廣紀 | 1579 | 34.94% | 1.86% |
| 18.94% | 中村亮介 | 1492 | 46.98% | ||
| 13.11% | 齊藤優希 | 1511 | 44.27% | ||
| 9.97% | 田中悠一 | 1436 | 55.02% | ||
| 6.91% | 近藤正和 | 1406 | 59.25% | ||
| 5.05% | 豊川孝弘 | 1381 | 62.67% | ||
| 2.84% | 関矢寛之アマ | 1401 | 59.94% | ||
| 1.36% | 泉正樹 | 1282 | 74.80% | ||
| 0.56% | 堀口一史座 | 1218 | 81.10% | ||
| 準決勝 | 34.01% | 西田拓也 | 1757 | 16.16% | 0.43% |
| 33.24% | 古賀悠聖 | 1725 | 18.81% | ||
| 16.38% | 上野裕寿 | 1669 | 24.24% | ||
| 5.61% | 冨田誠也 | 1621 | 29.66% | ||
| 2.06% | 山川泰熙 | 1495 | 46.55% | ||
| 1.62% | 牧野光則 | 1495 | 46.55% | ||
| 1.55% | 齊藤裕也 | 1536 | 40.75% | ||
| 1.46% | 宮本広志 | 1465 | 50.86% | ||
| 1.35% | 畠山成幸 | 1399 | 60.22% | ||
| 1.18% | 平藤眞吾 | 1379 | 62.94% | ||
| 0.37% | 神崎健二 | 1324 | 69.98% | ||
| 0.36% | 森下裕也アマ | 1401 | 59.94% | ||
| 0.33% | 山本真也 | 1350 | 66.74% | ||
| 0.30% | 長沼洋 | 1398 | 60.35% | ||
| 0.13% | 南芳一 | 1361 | 65.32% | ||
| 0.05% | 所司和晴 | 1212 | 81.62% | ||
| 決勝 | 20.53% | 徳田拳士 | 1640 | 27.43% | 0.17% |
| 14.71% | 黒田尭之 | 1632 | 28.36% | ||
| 9.27% | 古森悠太 | 1583 | 34.42% | ||
| 6.03% | 柵木幹太 | 1526 | 42.15% | ||
| 5.85% | 森本才跳 | 1574 | 35.60% | ||
| 5.85% | 小山直希 | 1537 | 40.61% | ||
| 5.63% | 長岡裕也 | 1486 | 47.84% | ||
| 4.47% | 宮嶋健太 | 1556 | 38.01% | ||
| 3.41% | 森下卓 | 1491 | 47.12% | ||
| 2.74% | 島朗 | 1438 | 54.73% | ||
| 2.53% | 安用寺孝功 | 1440 | 54.45% | ||
| 2.33% | 獺ヶ口笑保人 | 1500 | 45.84% | ||
| 2.13% | 増田裕司 | 1454 | 52.44% | ||
| 1.88% | 高橋佑二郎 | 1489 | 47.41% | ||
| 1.70% | 横山友紀 | 1499 | 45.98% | ||
| 1.57% | 上村亘 | 1444 | 53.88% | ||
| 1.49% | 勝又清和 | 1441 | 54.31% | ||
| 1.27% | 松本佳介 | 1418 | 57.57% | ||
| 1.24% | 日浦市郎 | 1406 | 59.25% | ||
| 1.23% | 塚田泰明 | 1401 | 59.94% | ||
| 1.02% | 髙野秀行 | 1423 | 56.86% | ||
| 0.65% | 伊藤沙恵 | 1455 | 52.30% | ||
| 0.64% | 藤原直哉 | 1414 | 58.13% | ||
| 0.54% | 岡崎洋 | 1364 | 64.93% | ||
| 0.29% | 竹内広也アマ | 1401 | 59.94% | ||
| 0.29% | 荒田敏史アマ | 1401 | 59.94% | ||
| 0.19% | 木下浩一 | 1311 | 71.53% | ||
| 0.16% | 島本亮 | 1327 | 69.61% | ||
| 0.15% | 有森浩三 | 1370 | 64.14% | ||
| 0.14% | 神谷広志 | 1313 | 71.29% | ||
| 0.05% | 浦野真彦 | 1313 | 71.29% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |