| レート | 1586 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 3回戦 | 柵木幹太 | 1526 | 58.55% | 58.55% | |
| 4回戦 | 56.78% | 黒田尭之 | 1644 | 41.73% | 29.80% |
| 37.91% | 横山友紀 | 1509 | 60.90% | ||
| 5.31% | 有森浩三 | 1370 | 77.62% | ||
| 5回戦 | 37.62% | 長岡裕也 | 1486 | 64.01% | 20.00% |
| 22.15% | 島朗 | 1438 | 70.10% | ||
| 21.63% | 獺ヶ口笑保人 | 1506 | 61.31% | ||
| 9.94% | 島本亮 | 1338 | 80.65% | ||
| 8.66% | 髙野秀行 | 1423 | 71.88% | ||
| 準決勝 | 40.16% | 徳田拳士 | 1637 | 42.71% | 11.15% |
| 12.73% | 宮嶋健太 | 1557 | 54.16% | ||
| 9.99% | 小山直希 | 1537 | 57.01% | ||
| 6.60% | 森下卓 | 1488 | 63.74% | ||
| 5.43% | 安用寺孝功 | 1440 | 69.86% | ||
| 3.73% | 高橋佑二郎 | 1489 | 63.61% | ||
| 3.72% | 上村亘 | 1444 | 69.37% | ||
| 3.55% | 勝又清和 | 1441 | 69.73% | ||
| 3.44% | 塚田泰明 | 1401 | 74.36% | ||
| 3.41% | 日浦市郎 | 1406 | 73.81% | ||
| 3.21% | 松本佳介 | 1418 | 72.45% | ||
| 1.73% | 岡崎洋 | 1364 | 78.21% | ||
| 1.02% | 竹内広也アマ | 1416 | 72.68% | ||
| 0.75% | 木下浩一 | 1311 | 82.96% | ||
| 0.52% | 神谷広志 | 1313 | 82.80% | ||
| 決勝 | 25.50% | 西田拓也 | 1758 | 27.09% | 3.93% |
| 24.09% | 岡部怜央 | 1734 | 29.90% | ||
| 21.22% | 古賀悠聖 | 1731 | 30.27% | ||
| 7.49% | 上野裕寿 | 1669 | 38.28% | ||
| 5.72% | 谷合廣紀 | 1579 | 51.01% | ||
| 4.23% | 冨田誠也 | 1627 | 44.13% | ||
| 3.02% | 吉池隆真 | 1560 | 53.73% | ||
| 2.98% | 小山怜央 | 1559 | 53.88% | ||
| 1.40% | 中村亮介 | 1492 | 63.21% | ||
| 0.86% | 佐藤秀司 | 1528 | 58.27% | ||
| 0.63% | 山川泰熙 | 1495 | 62.80% | ||
| 0.49% | 田中悠一 | 1436 | 70.34% | ||
| 0.44% | 佐藤慎一 | 1495 | 62.80% | ||
| 0.41% | 宮本広志 | 1465 | 66.74% | ||
| 0.35% | 関矢寛之アマ | 1416 | 72.68% | ||
| 0.26% | 近藤正和 | 1406 | 73.81% | ||
| 0.25% | 平藤眞吾 | 1379 | 76.70% | ||
| 0.16% | 神崎健二 | 1334 | 81.01% | ||
| 0.16% | 豊川孝弘 | 1381 | 76.50% | ||
| 0.15% | 長沼洋 | 1408 | 73.59% | ||
| 0.11% | 森下裕也アマ | 1416 | 72.68% | ||
| 0.06% | 山本真也 | 1350 | 79.55% | ||
| 0.02% | 泉正樹 | 1282 | 85.19% | ||
| 0.01% | 所司和晴 | 1212 | 89.59% | ||
| 0.00% | 堀口一史座 | 1218 | 89.27% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |