| レート | 1574 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 2回戦 | 横山友紀 | 1499 | 60.63% | 60.63% | |
| 3回戦 | 81.88% | 黒田尭之 | 1632 | 41.73% | 29.11% |
| 18.12% | 有森浩三 | 1370 | 76.39% | ||
| 4回戦 | 58.55% | 古森悠太 | 1586 | 48.27% | 15.09% |
| 41.45% | 柵木幹太 | 1526 | 56.86% | ||
| 5回戦 | 32.23% | 長岡裕也 | 1486 | 62.40% | 9.80% |
| 20.91% | 島朗 | 1438 | 68.63% | ||
| 20.70% | 獺ヶ口笑保人 | 1506 | 59.66% | ||
| 15.05% | 増田裕司 | 1454 | 66.61% | ||
| 8.15% | 髙野秀行 | 1423 | 70.46% | ||
| 2.96% | 島本亮 | 1327 | 80.56% | ||
| 準決勝 | 41.08% | 徳田拳士 | 1643 | 40.20% | 5.24% |
| 13.11% | 宮嶋健太 | 1562 | 51.73% | ||
| 9.69% | 小山直希 | 1537 | 55.30% | ||
| 6.43% | 森下卓 | 1488 | 62.13% | ||
| 5.26% | 安用寺孝功 | 1440 | 68.38% | ||
| 3.64% | 高橋佑二郎 | 1489 | 61.99% | ||
| 3.62% | 上村亘 | 1444 | 67.88% | ||
| 3.45% | 勝又清和 | 1441 | 68.26% | ||
| 3.35% | 塚田泰明 | 1401 | 73.02% | ||
| 3.32% | 日浦市郎 | 1406 | 72.45% | ||
| 3.12% | 松本佳介 | 1418 | 71.05% | ||
| 1.69% | 岡崎洋 | 1364 | 77.01% | ||
| 0.99% | 竹内広也アマ | 1416 | 71.29% | ||
| 0.73% | 木下浩一 | 1311 | 81.96% | ||
| 0.51% | 神谷広志 | 1313 | 81.79% | ||
| 決勝 | 23.93% | 西田拓也 | 1757 | 25.86% | 1.81% |
| 23.65% | 岡部怜央 | 1728 | 29.18% | ||
| 21.16% | 古賀悠聖 | 1725 | 29.54% | ||
| 9.18% | 上野裕寿 | 1669 | 36.66% | ||
| 6.01% | 谷合廣紀 | 1579 | 49.28% | ||
| 3.20% | 吉池隆真 | 1560 | 52.01% | ||
| 3.15% | 小山怜央 | 1559 | 52.16% | ||
| 2.80% | 冨田誠也 | 1621 | 43.28% | ||
| 1.48% | 中村亮介 | 1492 | 61.59% | ||
| 0.92% | 佐藤秀司 | 1528 | 56.58% | ||
| 0.69% | 山川泰熙 | 1495 | 61.18% | ||
| 0.61% | 齊藤裕也 | 1536 | 55.45% | ||
| 0.52% | 田中悠一 | 1436 | 68.88% | ||
| 0.47% | 佐藤慎一 | 1495 | 61.18% | ||
| 0.46% | 宮本広志 | 1465 | 65.19% | ||
| 0.37% | 関矢寛之アマ | 1416 | 71.29% | ||
| 0.28% | 近藤正和 | 1406 | 72.45% | ||
| 0.28% | 平藤眞吾 | 1379 | 75.45% | ||
| 0.23% | 長沼洋 | 1408 | 72.22% | ||
| 0.19% | 神崎健二 | 1334 | 79.92% | ||
| 0.18% | 豊川孝弘 | 1381 | 75.23% | ||
| 0.12% | 森下裕也アマ | 1416 | 71.29% | ||
| 0.06% | 山本真也 | 1350 | 78.41% | ||
| 0.03% | 南芳一 | 1361 | 77.31% | ||
| 0.02% | 泉正樹 | 1282 | 84.30% | ||
| 0.01% | 所司和晴 | 1212 | 88.93% | ||
| 0.00% | 堀口一史座 | 1218 | 88.59% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |