| レート | 1538 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 2回戦 | 山根ことみ | 1465 | 60.35% | 60.35% | |
| 3回戦 | 83.84% | 藤本渚 | 1797 | 18.38% | 14.55% |
| 8.08% | 片山史龍 | 1511 | 53.88% | ||
| 8.08% | 田中大貴 | 1511 | 53.88% | ||
| 準々決勝 | 66.19% | 斎藤明日斗 | 1762 | 21.59% | 4.78% |
| 13.28% | 松本大輝 | 1511 | 53.88% | ||
| 10.70% | 横山友紀 | 1489 | 57.01% | ||
| 4.91% | 山口裕誠 | 1511 | 53.88% | ||
| 4.91% | 桐山大翔 | 1511 | 53.88% | ||
| 準決勝 | 32.07% | 岡部怜央 | 1726 | 25.31% | 1.58% |
| 26.15% | 狩山幹生 | 1678 | 30.88% | ||
| 23.36% | 高田明浩 | 1689 | 29.54% | ||
| 6.35% | 柵木幹太 | 1528 | 51.44% | ||
| 2.70% | 大島綾華 | 1465 | 60.35% | ||
| 2.48% | 獺ヶ口笑保人 | 1500 | 55.45% | ||
| 1.99% | 炭崎俊毅 | 1511 | 53.88% | ||
| 1.99% | 宮田大暉 | 1511 | 53.88% | ||
| 1.46% | 古井丈大 | 1511 | 53.88% | ||
| 1.46% | 是枝直樹 | 1511 | 53.88% | ||
| 決勝 | 49.37% | 服部慎一郎 | 1841 | 5.98% | 0.32% |
| 16.63% | 古賀悠聖 | 1700 | 19.42% | ||
| 9.31% | 上野裕寿 | 1651 | 27.21% | ||
| 6.70% | 徳田拳士 | 1618 | 33.32% | ||
| 3.29% | 森本才跳 | 1563 | 44.62% | ||
| 2.37% | 吉池隆真 | 1549 | 47.63% | ||
| 2.19% | 小山直希 | 1544 | 48.71% | ||
| 1.59% | 高坂直矢 | 1511 | 55.81% | ||
| 1.39% | 山川泰熙 | 1503 | 57.50% | ||
| 1.33% | 高橋佑二郎 | 1500 | 58.14% | ||
| 0.76% | 増田晃之郎 | 1511 | 55.81% | ||
| 0.73% | 内山あや | 1465 | 65.31% | ||
| 0.68% | 宮原暁月 | 1511 | 55.81% | ||
| 0.68% | 吉田桂悟 | 1511 | 55.81% | ||
| 0.65% | 石本さくら | 1465 | 65.31% | ||
| 0.59% | 広森航汰 | 1511 | 55.81% | ||
| 0.59% | 小窪碧 | 1511 | 55.81% | ||
| 0.54% | 村田楽 | 1511 | 55.81% | ||
| 0.54% | 山下数毅 | 1511 | 55.81% | ||
| 0.07% | 小林智晴アマ | 1401 | 76.81% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |