| レート | 1595 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 1回戦 | 矢倉規広 | 1441 | 70.82% | 70.82% | |
| 2回戦 | 69.49% | 出口若武 | 1660 | 40.75% | 33.24% |
| 30.51% | 門倉啓太 | 1517 | 61.04% | ||
| 3回戦 | 59.50% | 上野裕寿 | 1717 | 33.13% | 15.09% |
| 16.66% | 阿部隆 | 1502 | 63.07% | ||
| 14.61% | 杉本昌隆 | 1530 | 59.25% | ||
| 9.23% | 村田智弘 | 1442 | 70.70% | ||
| 準決勝 | 48.68% | 斎藤明日斗 | 1795 | 24.03% | 5.46% |
| 17.59% | 山本博志 | 1643 | 43.14% | ||
| 16.76% | 中村太地 | 1662 | 40.48% | ||
| 8.95% | 井出隼平 | 1572 | 53.31% | ||
| 2.66% | 宮田敦史 | 1487 | 65.06% | ||
| 2.19% | 千葉幸生 | 1465 | 67.88% | ||
| 1.87% | 藤森哲也 | 1484 | 65.45% | ||
| 1.31% | 先崎学 | 1462 | 68.26% | ||
| 決勝 | 39.14% | 古賀悠聖 | 1768 | 26.98% | 2.37% |
| 12.19% | 柵木幹太 | 1632 | 44.70% | ||
| 11.41% | 谷合廣紀 | 1616 | 46.98% | ||
| 9.19% | 片上大輔 | 1580 | 52.16% | ||
| 6.00% | 船江恒平 | 1527 | 59.66% | ||
| 4.50% | 飯塚祐紀 | 1526 | 59.80% | ||
| 4.45% | 星野良生 | 1533 | 58.83% | ||
| 3.39% | 北浜健介 | 1530 | 59.25% | ||
| 2.68% | 遠山雄亮 | 1512 | 61.72% | ||
| 1.69% | 竹内雄悟 | 1507 | 62.40% | ||
| 1.34% | 田村康介 | 1458 | 68.75% | ||
| 1.20% | 井上慶太 | 1473 | 66.87% | ||
| 1.13% | 中川大輔 | 1440 | 70.94% | ||
| 0.89% | 阪口悟 | 1449 | 69.86% | ||
| 0.80% | 渡辺正和 | 1422 | 73.02% | 注:「合計期待勝率」は例えば2回戦ならば、 2回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率=1つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× (対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和) | |