| レート | 1924 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 2回戦 | 58.83% | 澤田真吾 | 1749 | 73.25% | 75.88% |
| 41.17% | 久保利明 | 1687 | 79.65% | ||
| 3回戦 | 61.83% | 豊島将之 | 1755 | 72.57% | 56.96% |
| 32.51% | 千田翔太 | 1713 | 77.11% | ||
| 5.66% | 折田翔吾 | 1532 | 90.52% | ||
| 準々決勝 | 39.54% | 伊藤匠 | 1840 | 61.86% | 36.76% |
| 30.96% | 近藤誠也 | 1838 | 62.13% | ||
| 22.37% | 大橋貴洸 | 1799 | 67.25% | ||
| 5.94% | 高田明浩 | 1684 | 79.92% | ||
| 1.19% | 西尾明 | 1573 | 88.29% | ||
| 準決勝 | 64.05% | 藤井聡太 | 2079 | 29.06% | 16.12% |
| 9.81% | 渡辺明 | 1808 | 66.10% | ||
| 6.45% | 広瀬章人 | 1811 | 65.71% | ||
| 5.65% | 藤本渚 | 1783 | 69.25% | ||
| 4.65% | 羽生善治 | 1780 | 69.61% | ||
| 4.47% | 稲葉陽 | 1722 | 76.18% | ||
| 2.30% | 木村一基 | 1711 | 77.31% | ||
| 1.40% | 村中秀史 | 1662 | 81.88% | ||
| 0.53% | 石川優太 | 1652 | 82.72% | ||
| 0.35% | 谷合廣紀 | 1607 | 86.11% | ||
| 0.34% | 佐藤紳哉 | 1600 | 86.59% | ||
| 0.01% | 西山朋佳 | 1411 | 95.04% | ||
| 決勝 | 16.20% | 佐々木勇気 | 1851 | 60.35% | 10.81% |
| 13.85% | 服部慎一郎 | 1859 | 59.25% | ||
| 11.25% | 増田康宏 | 1781 | 69.49% | ||
| 8.76% | 佐々木大地 | 1837 | 62.27% | ||
| 8.74% | 菅井竜也 | 1782 | 69.37% | ||
| 8.17% | 斎藤慎太郎 | 1828 | 63.47% | ||
| 6.08% | 佐藤天彦 | 1768 | 71.05% | ||
| 5.22% | 郷田真隆 | 1761 | 71.88% | ||
| 3.73% | 糸谷哲郎 | 1757 | 72.34% | ||
| 3.11% | 丸山忠久 | 1753 | 72.80% | ||
| 2.88% | 岡部怜央 | 1753 | 72.80% | ||
| 2.23% | 中村太地 | 1691 | 79.27% | ||
| 1.95% | 石井健太郎 | 1727 | 75.66% | ||
| 1.67% | 髙見泰地 | 1730 | 75.34% | ||
| 1.33% | 上野裕寿 | 1706 | 77.81% | ||
| 1.32% | 山崎隆之 | 1710 | 77.41% | ||
| 0.94% | 大石直嗣 | 1700 | 78.41% | ||
| 0.73% | 三浦弘行 | 1688 | 79.55% | ||
| 0.72% | 佐藤康光 | 1691 | 79.27% | ||
| 0.48% | 谷川浩司 | 1592 | 87.11% | ||
| 0.47% | 吉池隆真 | 1603 | 86.39% | ||
| 0.11% | 宮嶋健太 | 1581 | 87.81% | ||
| 0.06% | 勝又清和 | 1471 | 93.14% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |