| レート | 1813 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 2回戦 | 75.55% | 伊藤匠 | 1920 | 35.07% | 41.79% |
| 24.45% | 梶浦宏孝 | 1724 | 62.54% | ||
| 3回戦 | 72.07% | 永瀬拓矢 | 1906 | 36.93% | 17.94% |
| 22.46% | 斎藤明日斗 | 1779 | 54.88% | ||
| 5.46% | 横山泰明 | 1639 | 73.14% | ||
| 準々決勝 | 39.79% | 斎藤慎太郎 | 1817 | 49.42% | 10.15% |
| 27.12% | 増田康宏 | 1751 | 58.83% | ||
| 16.60% | 千田翔太 | 1765 | 56.86% | ||
| 13.78% | 佐々木慎 | 1677 | 68.63% | ||
| 2.71% | 屋敷伸之 | 1622 | 75.02% | ||
| 準決勝 | 74.26% | 藤井聡太 | 2106 | 15.62% | 2.67% |
| 9.09% | 豊島将之 | 1808 | 50.72% | ||
| 7.71% | 渡辺明 | 1787 | 53.73% | ||
| 3.16% | 澤田真吾 | 1716 | 63.61% | ||
| 1.47% | 佐藤康光 | 1704 | 65.19% | ||
| 1.45% | 冨田誠也 | 1659 | 70.82% | ||
| 1.15% | 木村一基 | 1678 | 68.51% | ||
| 1.12% | 久保利明 | 1676 | 68.75% | ||
| 0.37% | 西尾明 | 1624 | 74.80% | ||
| 0.20% | 長谷部浩平 | 1580 | 79.27% | ||
| 0.01% | 西山朋佳 | 1419 | 90.62% | ||
| 決勝 | 18.93% | 羽生善治 | 1853 | 44.27% | 1.39% |
| 12.17% | 菅井竜也 | 1835 | 46.84% | ||
| 10.61% | 佐々木勇気 | 1831 | 47.41% | ||
| 10.15% | 佐藤天彦 | 1808 | 50.72% | ||
| 7.75% | 八代弥 | 1791 | 53.16% | ||
| 6.02% | 藤本渚 | 1798 | 52.16% | ||
| 5.63% | 佐々木大地 | 1825 | 48.27% | ||
| 5.25% | 山崎隆之 | 1789 | 53.45% | ||
| 4.66% | 稲葉陽 | 1728 | 61.99% | ||
| 4.20% | 近藤誠也 | 1763 | 57.15% | ||
| 3.47% | 中村太地 | 1703 | 65.32% | ||
| 3.24% | 糸谷哲郎 | 1776 | 55.30% | ||
| 1.85% | 大橋貴洸 | 1726 | 62.27% | ||
| 1.35% | 谷川浩司 | 1621 | 75.12% | ||
| 1.18% | 郷田真隆 | 1735 | 61.04% | ||
| 1.15% | 三浦弘行 | 1670 | 69.49% | ||
| 0.90% | 古森悠太 | 1652 | 71.64% | ||
| 0.52% | 小山怜央 | 1569 | 80.29% | ||
| 0.50% | 深浦康市 | 1678 | 68.51% | ||
| 0.24% | 徳田拳士 | 1595 | 77.81% | ||
| 0.11% | 齊藤裕也 | 1579 | 79.36% | ||
| 0.10% | 門倉啓太 | 1587 | 78.60% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |