| レート | 1650 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 登場確率 | 対戦相手 | レート | 期待勝率 | 合計期待勝率 | |
| 2回戦 | 宮嶋健太 | 1610 | 55.73% | 55.73% | |
| 3回戦 | 58.13% | 片山史龍 | 1508 | 69.37% | 40.18% |
| 20.93% | 是枝直樹 | 1451 | 75.87% | ||
| 20.93% | 國井勝太 | 1451 | 75.87% | ||
| 準々決勝 | 54.55% | 柵木幹太 | 1660 | 48.56% | 23.30% |
| 25.01% | 炭﨑俊毅 | 1547 | 64.40% | ||
| 12.22% | 齊藤裕也 | 1469 | 73.92% | ||
| 5.27% | 崎原実地歩 | 1451 | 75.87% | ||
| 2.95% | 稲葉聡アマ | 1409 | 80.02% | ||
| 準決勝 | 25.85% | 小山怜央 | 1644 | 50.86% | 14.04% |
| 23.87% | 小山直希 | 1582 | 59.66% | ||
| 22.10% | 山川泰熙 | 1627 | 53.31% | ||
| 8.74% | 横山友紀 | 1496 | 70.82% | ||
| 6.05% | 永井大 | 1451 | 75.87% | ||
| 3.44% | 磯谷祐維 | 1416 | 79.36% | ||
| 3.02% | 鳥巣友希 | 1451 | 75.87% | ||
| 3.02% | 福田晴紀 | 1451 | 75.87% | ||
| 2.62% | 村田丞 | 1451 | 75.87% | ||
| 1.28% | 慶田義法アマ | 1409 | 80.02% | ||
| 決勝 | 32.79% | 吉池隆真 | 1698 | 39.77% | 8.80% |
| 13.66% | 高橋佑二郎 | 1589 | 62.90% | ||
| 8.09% | 山下数毅 | 1551 | 70.28% | ||
| 8.04% | 生垣寛人 | 1559 | 68.79% | ||
| 5.85% | 古井丈大 | 1541 | 72.09% | ||
| 4.78% | 岩村凛太朗 | 1498 | 79.12% | ||
| 4.59% | 森本才跳 | 1519 | 75.84% | ||
| 4.57% | 獺ヶ口笑保人 | 1497 | 79.27% | ||
| 3.75% | 小窪碧 | 1481 | 81.55% | ||
| 3.50% | 川村悠人 | 1506 | 77.91% | ||
| 2.23% | 吉田桂悟 | 1451 | 85.34% | ||
| 1.29% | 大島綾華 | 1416 | 88.98% | ||
| 1.23% | 広森航汰 | 1451 | 85.34% | ||
| 0.97% | 北村啓太郎 | 1451 | 85.34% | ||
| 0.97% | 宮原暁月 | 1451 | 85.34% | ||
| 0.89% | 村田楽 | 1451 | 85.34% | ||
| 0.89% | 渋江朔矢 | 1451 | 85.34% | ||
| 0.68% | 祝井優希 | 1451 | 85.34% | ||
| 0.68% | 吉田響太 | 1451 | 85.34% | ||
| 0.53% | 仲津留大樹アマ | 1409 | 89.62% | 注：「合計期待勝率」は例えば２回戦ならば、 ２回戦を勝ち抜く確率を示す。 ・合計期待勝率＝１つ下の対局の合計期待勝率× （対戦相手ごとの登場確率×期待勝率の総和） | |